I wonder how much if it the equivalent of btc privacy vs Monero: political elections are the biggest and most important fish, they could, in theory, have the biggest upside, but if prediction markets became significant it would be such a dramatic threat to existing power structures that they would crush it, assassinate people, etc.
It's kind of funny for me to say this, since I'm normally the one who has so little patience for all the idiot conspiracies that knock around this space, the mysterious elites who are rigging your phone service and trying to make you fat through corn subsidies, etc. Anyone who's ever managed a large group should know how impossible it is to orchestrate things like that.
But when the stakes are really high, there's a phase transition, and I expect more conspiracies, not less. I'm a fat tail conspiracy theorist maybe.
I wonder how much if it the equivalent of btc privacy vs Monero: political elections are the biggest and most important fish, they could, in theory, have the biggest upside, but if prediction markets became significant it would be such a dramatic threat to existing power structures that they would crush it, assassinate people, etc.
It's kind of funny for me to say this, since I'm normally the one who has so little patience for all the idiot conspiracies that knock around this space, the mysterious elites who are rigging your phone service and trying to make you fat through corn subsidies, etc. Anyone who's ever managed a large group should know how impossible it is to orchestrate things like that.
But when the stakes are really high, there's a phase transition, and I expect more conspiracies, not less. I'm a fat tail conspiracy theorist maybe.