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What do you think will be most different about the world in 10 years with respect to technology and innovation? Does bitcoin play a part in any of this?

Wow very cool. Taking my daughter to the park for a bit, but hoping I can get a chance to play with this before the game.

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Other people have made good points. But one thing I think hasn't been discussed is incentives to attack Bitcoin: because zeroconf transactions rely on the P2P network, both merchants trying to rely on them, and attackers trying to double spend, have incentives to attack the P2P network.

The latter is more obvious: if you sybil attack the network, DoS miner's nodes, etc. you can break the very weak consensus that zeroconf is relying on. We don't want people to have a profit motive to attack Bitcoin nodes, so full-rbf is desirable by taking away that profit motive.

The latter is less obvious: merchants trying to do "risk management" of zeroconf transactions inevitably find they have to try to measure propagation of transactions. But because Bitcoin has decent privacy protections, the only way to do that is for the merchants to perform sybil attacks against the P2P network! While this is a mild attack per merchant, it adds up: eventually the whole network will run out of connection slots. Again, we don't want this incentive to exist. And of course, since only a small number of merchants can successfully do this, it's very centralized.

Finally, in the past we've seen merchants try to make deals with miners to make zeroconf more reliable. This is really ugly at the end stage, because the only really effective way to guarantee zeroconf txs get mined is to get miners to do 51% attacks on miners who don't mine the "right" transactions that "came first". Due to the P2P attacks, and the general lack of consensus in the mempool, it is impossible for smaller, non-anonymous, miners to always mine the "right" txs.

So yeah, when v24.0 is released, please set mempoolfullrbf=1 on your home nodes, and mining nodes. It's better for everyone if we get rid of this opt-in-rbf/zeroconf nonsense.

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If we've learned anything since 2020 its that you know what they are telling us is complete BS. The question is, what is really gonna happen. I think Odell is right here.

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The back (interfaces) of an electronic device.

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