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Suppose Antpool has demonstrated a pattern of mining on the competing fork (as opposed to mining on their own block during a fork).

https://m.stacker.news/39252

As you explained, if Antpool were trying to maximize profits (short term) then they would mine on their own block during a chainsplit.

What are you opinions on the following reasons why Antpool would abandon their own block during a fork?

  1. Antpool does not want to be "liable" for a 2+ block chainsplit that could appear as an attempt to reorg blocks (its a way to guard reputation as an "honest" pool)
  2. Antpool is using the Tit for Tat Strategy (its a long-term strategy of mutual cooperation)

Do you have a theory why a pool would mine on the competing fork?